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World Cup Group D wraps up Thursday night with the United States taking on Turkey at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California.

While the result won’t change the standings, there’s still plenty to keep an eye on. The USMNT has already secured first place in the group with wins over Paraguay and Australia, giving Mauricio Pochettino the luxury of rotating his squad ahead of the Round of 32. Several regular starters are expected to be rested with yellow-card accumulation and minor injuries in mind, opening the door for fresh faces to make an impact.

Turkey, meanwhile, will look to end its tournament on a high note after being eliminated through its first two matches – most notably, get one on the board after consecutive shutouts. With a different-looking U.S. lineup expected and both teams playing freely, Thursday’s finale presents an intriguing betting situation on both sides.

Here’s a look at the latest odds, our best bet, and the most popular player props at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook.

Turkey vs. USA Odds Today

Despite missing a few key pieces, Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook has the United States favored on the 3-way moneyline:

  • 🇹🇷 Turkey (+275)
  • 🤚 Draw (+300)
  • 🇺🇸 USA (-120)

Referenced odds subject to change.

Best Bet for Turkey vs. USA

Remember to check out Hard Rock Bet’s Stats Hub before locking in any bets – it’s loaded with trends and matchup data for every single game during the 2026 World Cup, along with several other popular sports and leagues.

Under 2.5 Goals (+130): Under 2.5 goals has hit in each of Turkey’s last four World Cup matches including qualifiers, and the setup tonight couldn’t be more favorable for that trend to continue. Turkey have yet to score at this tournament and have looked toothless against two teams the U.S. already beat comfortably.

On the other side, a heavily rotated American lineup with multiple starters expected to sit out has little incentive to push the tempo or chase goals. Three of the four World Cup games involving these two nations this tournament have already finished under 2.5 – the only exception being the U.S.’s 4-1 opener against Paraguay. Remove some starters, add a Turkey side that can’t find the net, and this has all the hallmarks of a flat, forgettable 90 minutes.

USA Turkey Stats Hub Betting Splits for Turkey vs. USA

It’s almost entirely one-sided on the moneyline:

  • USA are receiving 85.7% of all wagers and 94.1% of the money.
  • The draw has picked up 8.4% of the total tickets and 3.1% of the handle.
  • Turkey have attracted just 5.8% of all bets and 2.8% of the money.

Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props

  1. Folarin Balogun – Anytime Goalscorer
  2. Christian Pulisic – Anytime Goalscorer
  3. Giovanni Reyna – Anytime Goalscorer
  4. Ricardo Pepi – Anytime Goalscorer
  5. Folarin Balogun – To Score or Assist

Turkey vs. USA Match Info

  • 📍 Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
  • 📅 When: Thursday, June 25
  • Kickoff: 10:00 PM ET
  • 📺 TV: FOX/Telemundo/Fubo

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Michael Sciangula

Michael Sciangula is a New Jersey-based sports betting and online game writer. He has contributed iGaming content to several publications over the last half decade including the Action Network, New York Post and Philadelphia Inquirer. Contact Michael at [email protected].