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Group F is still up for grabs in Thursday’s World Cup action as current group leader Netherlands takes on already-eliminated Tunisia at 7 p.m. ET in Kansas City. The Netherlands and Japan are tied atop Group F with four points and a +4 goal differential, but the Dutch hold the tiebreaker by virtue of having scored one more goal. Japan faces Sweden, which also remains alive in the race for first place, at the same time in Texas.

While Tunisia has already been eliminated from advancing, it still has pride to play for Thursday night and could also play spoiler to the Netherlands’ hopes of winning Group F. It’s been a tournament to forget for Tunisia after a 5-1 loss to Sweden in its 2026 World Cup opener followed by a 4-0 defeat to Japan last weekend.

The Netherlands opened its campaign with a 2-2 draw against Japan in a match where Virgil van Dijk and Crysencio Summerville each found the back of the net. It followed that up with an impressive 5-1 victory over Sweden, as Brian Brobbey and Cody Gakpo each scored twice while Summerville added his second goal of the tournament.

The Netherlands controls its own destiny and has the clearest path to the Round of 32 in Group F, but it can’t afford to overlook Tunisia.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands Current Odds

Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists the Netherlands as a massive favorite as it looks to capture the Group F title Thursday night.

Three-way moneyline:

  • Tunisia: +3000
  • Netherlands: -1100
  • Draw/Tie: +1000

Tunisia vs. Netherlands Predictions

Looking for inspiration for Thursday night’s World Cup action? Head over to Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook and check out the Stats Hub for picks like the one below, along with soccer betting insights, trends, trackers, and standings throughout the tournament:

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Tunisia vs. Netherlands Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals

Tunisia has managed just one goal through its first two World Cup matches, but the Netherlands is more than capable of carrying this total on its own against a Tunisia side that has conceded nine goals through two matches.

The Dutch have already scored seven goals in the tournament, including five against Sweden last weekend. Tunisia, meanwhile, allowed five goals to Sweden and four to Japan while struggling to slow either attack.

The Netherlands has conceded three goals through two matches, so there is at least some opportunity for Tunisia to contribute. More importantly, with Group F still undecided, the Dutch may need to not only win but also improve their goal differential to stay ahead of Japan in the race for first place.

That combination makes the Over 3.5 Goals market an appealing option.

  • Tunisia vs. Netherlands Game Prop Pick for June 25: Over 3.5 Goals (+100)

Tunisia vs. Netherlands June 25 Stats Hub Total

Popular Props for Tunisia vs. Netherlands

Cody Gakpo is the most popular player in the prop markets, owning the four most-bet player propsĀ heading into kickoff:

  • Cody Gakpo – To Score or Assist
  • Cody Gakpo – Anytime Goalscorer
  • Brian Brobbey – Shots On Target Over 0.5

Tunisia & Netherlands Group F Winner Odds

Tunisia has already been eliminated from Group F contention, while the Netherlands enters Thursday as the betting favorite to win the group:

  • Tunisia to win Group F: Eliminated
  • Netherlands to win Group F: -650

Tunisia & Netherlands World Cup Winner Odds

Tunisia’s World Cup run comes to an end after the group stage, while the Netherlands remains firmly in contention with the eighth-best odds to lift the trophy:

  • Tunisia to win the World Cup: Eliminated
  • Netherlands to win the World Cup: +1600

Tunisia vs. Netherlands Match Info

  • šŸ“ Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • šŸ“… Date: Thursday, June 25
  • ā° Start Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • šŸ“ŗ Where to Watch: FS1, Telemundo, FOX One
  • šŸ† Stage: World Cup Group Stage

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Referenced odds are subject to change.

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Michael Hennelly

Michael has been an active sports contributor for multiple publications since graduating from Penn State in 2024. While sports play a major in his life (in the best way), he also enjoys spending time with family and friends. Contact Michael at [email protected].