France vs Morocco Predictions, Picks and Current Odds for World Cup Quarterfinal

The World Cup quarterfinals get underway on Thursday afternoon as France and Morocco meet in Foxboro, Mass with a place in the semifinals on the line. The winner will move one step closer to lifting soccer’s biggest prize, while the loser’s World Cup journey comes to an agonizing end.

France has looked every bit the tournament favorite so far, cruising past Sweden in the group stage before edging Paraguay in the Round of 16 on a late Mbappé penalty. Morocco, meanwhile, has continued its remarkable run, knocking out the Netherlands on penalties before dispatching Canada to become the first African nation through to the quarterfinals since… Morocco, in 2022.

Didier Deschamps’ side boasts world-class talent across the pitch and enters as the clear betting favorite, but Morocco has already shown it can frustrate talented opposition with disciplined defending and clinical finishing – though they’ll be without Ismael Saibari for this one.

Whether you’re backing France to continue its march toward another World Cup title or Morocco to make more history again, Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook has everything you need to bet on the World Cup. You can bet on who wins, World Cup same game parlays, anytime goalscorer wagers as Mbappé chases the Golden Boot, and more.

Here’s everything you need to know before the 4 pm ET kickoff at Gillette Stadium, along with my three France vs. Morocco predictions and best bets.

France vs. Morocco Current Odds

We’ll start with the 3-way moneyline. Sure, this is the knockout round and we will declare a winner on Thursday evening in Foxboro – but the 3-way moneyline remains the primary soccer betting market. Bettors can choose any of the three possible outcomes after 90 minutes. France to win, Morocco to win, or the tie.

• 🇫🇷 France to Win: -175
• 🪢 Tie/Draw: +275
• 🇲🇦 Morocco to Win: +575

Morocco vs France: Odds to Advance

Now we’re getting down to business. Throw the tie out the window and we’ve got the ‘to advance’ World Cup betting market. Who moves on to the World Cup Semifinal and who goes home – it’s that simple. ‘To advance’ offers a real barometer on how likely a team is to move on. Current prices for France vs Morocco to advance are:

• 🇫🇷 France to Advance: -375
• 🇲🇦 Morocco to Advance: +275

If we want to take it a step further we can assign a percentage chance to advance using the Hard Rock Bet odds calculator, using France’s -375 American odds price, that equates to a roughly 79% chance that they’ll beat Morocco.

On the other side of the coin, Morocco’s +275 price offers an implied probability of around 26% that they beat France. This makes France a significant favorite.

France vs Morocco Predictions

With limited opportunities remaining to bet on the World Cup, I’m excited to dig to this first quarterfinal matchup. As always, my process begins with a journey through the Stats Hub on Hard Rock Bet. Here’s what I’m taking today for my France vs Morocco predictions and betting picks:

France vs Morocco Prediction: France to Win (-175)

This is the 3-way moneyline play that stands out the most to me. France is a big favorite in this one and the ‘to advance’ price of -375 really showcases that. However, France to win in normal time at -175 is a lot more appealing to me. There’s some additional risk baked in here if extra time is required, but the gap in pricing is large enough that I’m ok taking that on. I think France win, and I think the 3-way moneyline is the best way to play in to that thesis.

Ismael Saibari, Morocco’s Bayern Munich-bound striker also misses this one due to injury which will make it even more difficult.

France vs Morocco Anytime Goalscorer Pick: Kylian Mbappé (-110)

Yea, it’s boring. I thought about taking a stand on Ousmane Demebélé – the current world player of the year and 2025 Ballon d’Or winner at +210 to score. He’s already scored a hat trick at this World Cup, and Achraf Hakimi, Morocco’s star right back plays on the side that Mbappé favors… but staring right back at me is Kylian Mbappé at -110, the lowest his anytime goalscorer odds have been all tournament.

No matter how you slice it, Mbappé is sensational when he throws on the French jersey at the World Cup. He has three multi-goal games this summer at the World Cup already. He’s the first option, the penalty taker, and the player that this insanely talented attack flows through. At -110, I’m in.

You can also grab Mbappé at +240 for the first goalscorer, which he’s cashed in six of seven.

Morocco vs France Correct Score Bet: 2-0 France (+550)

Per Stats Hub, the Both Teams to Score market (BTTS) has failed to hit in four of France’s last five World Cup Quarterfinals, and the under 2.5 goals market has hit in seven of Morocco’s last eight World Cup matches an underdog. This adds up to a low scoring match, and with Saibari out for Morocco I think they’ll struggle to get on the board. I like France to win this one 2-0 at +550 on Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook.

For what it’s worth, France beat Morocco by this exact scoreline in the 2022 World Cup semifinals, too.

World Cup Futures: Betting France, Morocco

France entered the tournament among the betting favorites and have only strengthened that position with an unbeaten, to this point, tournament. If you’re interesting in grabbing futures on the French, or taking a stand on Morocco – one of the largest underdogs left in the field, you can bet their World Cup futures at the following prices on Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook:

France World Cup Futures

• 🇫🇷 France to Win the World Cup: +185 (1.85/1)
• 🇫🇷 France to Reach the Final: -115 (20/23)

Morocco World Cup Futures

• 🇲🇦 Morocco to Win the World Cup: +3000 (30/1)
• 🇲🇦 Morocco to Reach the Final: +900 (9/1)

France vs Morocco Match Info

• 📍 Location: Boston Stadium (Gillette Stadium), Foxboro, MA
• 📅 Date: Thursday, July 9
• ⏰ Start Time: 4:00pm ET
• 📺 Where to Watch: FOX, Telemundo
• 🏆 Stage: World Cup Knockout – Quarterfinal

All referenced odds are subject to change.